It's the end of the world as we know it
it's the end of the world as we know it,
and I feel fine.
- REM
Hilarie Bass recently wrote an editorial piece questioning whether we are seeing "The End of the Justice System as We Know It." See ABA Journal of the Section of Litigation, Vol. 36, No. 4 (Su. 2010). She opens by citing recent statistics that only approximately 1% of law suits today are ultimately resolved by way of a trial. The number of cases proceeding to trial used to be more commonly estimated at about 5%, so this represents a shift that is worth considering.
Ms. Bass suggests several reasons for the decline in cases going to trial, including mounting litigation costs, increased uncertainty as to outcome, and the increasing court-mandated use of alternative dispute resolution processes. All of these are certainly contributing factors. However, I think the editorial overlooks an even more basic factor, and effectively puts the cart before the horse.